Thank you for the sample files, rcohn.
Is it possible that your computer's time/time zone did not change when you physically got to Missouri?
For example, if the computer was in Airplane Mode, or the WiFi was disabled, the computer's time may still have been set to Eastern Time in New Jersey while you were physically in Missouri, in Central Time.
If the computer's time zone was still set to Eastern Time during the first Incremental Ingest, and if the computer connected to the Internet in between ingests, the computer's time zone could have updated to Central Time, which would cause Incremental Ingest to ingest the previously ingested files.
Separate from the computer's time zone, looking at the Makernotes metadata for the sample CR3 files using Exiftool, the camera's time zone was still set to New York, and Daylight Savings Time was set to On (Daylight Savings Time ended on November 5th, 2023).